Middle East
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BY 24H VOLUMEUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
98%▲11 today · Near certain
YES PRICE · LAST MONTH
100%50%
14 OctToday
$810K 24h · $3M total · closes Oct 22Trade
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Every Middle East question
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US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?US · IR98%▲11▲11$810KOct 22TradeWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?IL30%▲3▲3$611KOct 28TradeUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?US · IR92%▲9▲9$337KOct 24TradeUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?US · IR77%▲8▲8$252KOct 31TradeWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?US · IR17%00$140KDec 31TradeUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?US · IR74%▲7▲7$82KNov 4TradeUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?US · IR82%▲6▲6$74KOct 28TradeWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?IR86%▼1▼1$66KDec 31TradeWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?IL16%▲1▲1$55KOct 28TradeUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?US · IR2%▲1▲1$53KOct 31TradeWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?IR6%00$49KDec 31TradeWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?IL2%▼1▼1$41KOct 28TradeIran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?IR26%▼1▼1$38KDec 31 ’27TradeIran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?IR9%00$36KDec 31TradeWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?IL49%▼2▼2$30KOct 28TradeUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?US · IR46%▼4▼4$25KNov 15TradeIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?IR6%00$24KDec 31TradeUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?US · IR14%▼1▼1$20KDec 31TradeUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?US · IR57%00$16KNov 8TradeUS x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?US · IR29%▼2▼2$13KDec 31TradeUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?US · YE94%▲1▲1$12KOct 31TradeIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?IR10%00$10KDec 31 ’27TradeWill no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?IL38%▼1▼1$9KFeb 28 ’27TradeUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?US · IR37%▼3▼3$9KNov 30TradeWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?IR4%00$8KDec 31 ’27TradeWill no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?IL39%▼2▼2$8KFeb 28 ’27TradeWill Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?IL9%▼1▼1$8KMar 1 ’27TradeWill Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?IL18%▼1▼1$8KMar 1 ’27TradeWill Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?IR2%▲1▲1$7KOct 31TradeWill Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?IL17%00$6KMar 1 ’27TradeWill the Iranian regime fall before 2028?IR26%▲2▲2$6KDec 31 ’27TradeWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?IL7%00$6KMar 1 ’27TradeIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?IR1%00$5KOct 31TradeWill Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?IL11%00$5KMar 1 ’27TradeWill Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?IL59%00$5KOct 28TradeWill no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?IL37%▲2▲2$5KFeb 28 ’27TradeWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?IL18%00$5KMar 1 ’27TradeUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?US · IR9%00$4KNov 30TradeWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?IR16%00$4KJun 30 ’27TradeUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?US · IR43%▼2▼2$4KNov 22TradeWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?IL15%00$4KMar 1 ’27TradeWill Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?IR · JO13%00$4KOct 31TradeNetanyahu out by end of 2026?IL41%00$4KDec 31TradeMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?IR17%00$4KDec 31 ’27TradeWill no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?IL39%▼1▼1$4KFeb 28 ’27TradeWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?IR3%00$4KOct 31TradeMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?IR2%00$4KOct 31TradeWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?IR3%00$3KDec 31TradeIran Nuke before 2027?IR3%00$3KDec 31TradeWill no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?IL35%00$3KFeb 28 ’27TradeWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?IR11%00$3KDec 31TradeWill USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?IR16%00$2KDec 31TradeWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?IR2%00$2KDec 31TradeWill UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?IL68%00$2KOct 27TradeWill Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?IR · AE23%00$1KOct 31TradeIran invades Kuwait by October 31?IR · KW2%00$1KOct 31TradeSaudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?SA · YE21%00$1KDec 31TradeIran nuclear test before 2027?IR6%00$1KDec 31TradeUAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?AE · SA5%00$1KDec 31TradeIran invades Kuwait by December 31?IR · KW6%00$1KDec 31 ’27Trade