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NATO & Russia

Every market on NATO & Russia, with the odds traders are paying right now.

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24h volume$22K
Live markets18
Conflict risk70/100
Biggest move▼7
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Top question

BY 24H VOLUME
YES PRICE · HISTORY STARTS TODAY
100%50%
22 OctToday
$8K 24h · $8K total · closes Nov 15Trade
Russia military action against an EU country by…2 DEADLINES
Will NATO countries clash with each other before…2 DEADLINES

News on NATO & Russia

BBC News · 5 hr agoUkraine hit by strikes after Russia agrees to new peace talksThe three waves of Russian missiles were launched at hours after Russia said it was "ready in principle" to resume peace talks with the US and Ukraine.Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?77%▼3
BBC News · 5 hr agoGermany target of 'intensive' espionage, Merz says after suspected Russian spy arrestA Ukrainian man was arrested on suspicion of spying for Russia - one of several such cases in Germany this year.

Every NATO & Russia question

18 MARKETS
QUESTION30DYES24HVOL 24HCLOSES
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?RU25%——$8KNov 15TradeNATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?RU30%——$3KNov 30TradeNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?UA3%00$2KDec 31TradeRussia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?RU23%▲2▲2$2KDec 31 ’27TradeNATO article 5 before 2027?5%00$1KDec 31TradeRussia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?RU9%▲1▲1$1KDec 31TradeWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?US2%00$991Dec 31TradeWill Russia invade another country in 2026?RU6%00$718Jan 1 ’27TradeWill NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?5%▲1▲1$551Dec 31TradeWill Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?RU5%00$510Dec 31TradeUkraine joins NATO before 2027?UA1%00$496Dec 31TradeWill any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?6%▲2▲2$385Dec 31TradeWill Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?RU20%00$376Dec 31 ’27TradeNATO dissolves before 2027?1%00$225Dec 31TradeUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?UA5%▼1▼1$124Dec 31TradeEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?UA4%▼7▼7$101Dec 31 ’27TradeWill NATO countries clash with each other before 2028?15%00$48Dec 31 ’27TradeNATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?YE5%00$8Dec 31Trade