Iran: what the market says
Every question below is priced by people staking money on the answer. The percentage is the market's probability, and the volume tells you how much to trust it.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?24h volume $752K20%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?24h volume $435K45%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?24h volume $275K94%
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?24h volume $215K63%
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?24h volume $174K7%
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?24h volume $149K99%
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?24h volume $139K4%
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?24h volume $138K75%