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Wed 4 Nov 2026 · What the world is betting on

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The wire

Al Jazeera and BBC, linked to live markets
19m
BBC News · War & GeopoliticsSouth Africa
42m
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsUnited States
50m
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsUnited States
1h
BBC News · PoliticsUnited States · 2 markets
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?68%▲1Trade →
1h
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsYemen · 2 markets
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?29%▼1Trade →
1h
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsUnited States · 1 market
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?99%▲25Trade →
1h
Al Jazeera · PoliticsIsrael · 4 markets
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?39%▼5Trade →
1h
BBC News · War & GeopoliticsIran, United States · 2 markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2%0Trade →
1h
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsPalestine
1h
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsIndonesia
2h
BBC News · War & GeopoliticsUnited States
2h
Al Jazeera · PoliticsUnited States · 2 markets
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?63%▲19Trade →
2h
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsUnited States
2h
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsIran, United States · 4 markets
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?14%▼5Trade →
3h
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsAustralia
3h
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsPalestine, Israel · 4 markets
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?79%▲19Trade →
3h
Al Jazeera · PoliticsUnited States · 1 market
Will Carlos Reyes Torres win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?2%0Trade →
3h
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsUnited States
4h
Al Jazeera · War & GeopoliticsVenezuela · 4 markets
Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?11%0Trade →
4h
BBC News · War & GeopoliticsUnited States
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Israel and Iran trade strikes as…
‹ ›meridiannews.com/world/middle-east/israel-iran-strikes
MERIDIANWorld · Middle East
Middle EastIsrael and Iran trade strikes as ceasefire talks stallMediators say a new round of talks in Muscat is still on, but both sides have stepped up air defences.By Staff Reporter
article photo
Israeli jets struck targets overnight after drones were intercepted over the Golan Heights, the military said. Iran’s foreign ministry called the strikes a violation of the truce.
Market FinderODDZY
meridiannews.com/world/middle-eastScanned just now
2 markets answer this story
96% matchIL · IR
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?
98%YES▲8Trade
88% matchIL · IR
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?
87%YES▲9Trade
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