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Turkey

Every market on Turkey, with the odds traders are paying right now.

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24h volume$622

Live markets18

Conflict risk8/100

Biggest move▼7

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Top question

BY 24H VOLUME

Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?

27%▲4 today · Unlikely

YES PRICE · LAST MONTH

100%50%

12 OctToday

$150 24h · $19K total · closes Oct 31Trade

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?13 OUTCOMES

Egypt19%0 Qatar11%0 Yemen8%0 Bahrain8%0 Iraq8%0 Kuwait7%0

Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by…2 DEADLINES

Oct 3127%▲4 Dec 3127%▼7

Turkish troops enter Yemen by…2 DEADLINES

Oct 313%0 Dec 315%0

Erdoğan out by…2 DEADLINES

Dec 314%0 Dec 31 ’2725%▼1

News on Turkey

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Every Turkey question

18 MARKETS

QUESTION30DYES24HVOL 24HCLOSES

Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?US · TR27%▲4▲4$150Oct 31Trade Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?IL · TR8%00$142Dec 31Trade Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?TR · YE5%00$71Dec 31Trade Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?TR14%00$70Jan 1 ’27Trade Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027?TR42%00$50Jun 30 ’27Trade Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?TR25%▼1▼1$45Dec 31 ’27Trade Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?TR6%00$30Jan 1 ’27Trade Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?LB2%00$26Dec 31Trade Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?TR4%00$17Dec 31Trade Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?TR5%00$15Jan 1 ’27Trade Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?US · TR27%▼7▼7$6Dec 31Trade Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?GR · TR10%▲2▲2$0Dec 31 ’27Trade Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?TR · YE9%00$0Dec 31Trade Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?TR · YE3%00$0Oct 31Trade Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?EG19%00$0Dec 31Trade Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?TR21%00$0Dec 31Trade Will Iraq join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?IQ8%00$0Dec 31Trade Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?TR15%00$0Jan 1 ’27Trade