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Iraq & the Gulf

Every market on Iraq & the Gulf, with the odds traders are paying right now.

Live Polymarket markets · trade directly on Polymarket

24h volume$54K

Live markets28

Conflict risk0/100

Biggest move▲3

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Top question

BY 24H VOLUME

Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?

4%▼1 today · Remote

YES PRICE · LAST MONTH

100%50%

12 OctToday

$12K 24h · $243K total · closes Oct 31Trade

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?8 OUTCOMES

Saudi Arabia29%0 Meta6%0 Russia5%0 China5%▼2 Anthropic4%0 SpaceXAI / Elon Musk4%0

Will Saudi airspace be closed by…2 DEADLINES

Oct 314%▼1 Dec 31 ’2719%0

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by…2 DEADLINES

Oct 314%0 Dec 31 ’2731%0

Houthis capture Taiz city by…3 DEADLINES

Oct 3113%—Nov 3037%—Dec 31 ’2744%—

News on Iraq & the Gulf

BBC News · 1 hr agoTrump says Musk has restored Ukraine's access after Starlink rowUkraine relies on Starlink for a range of military uses - its owner Elon Musk has repeatedly denied restricting access.Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for SpaceXAI / Elon Musk by December 31?4%0

Every Iraq & the Gulf question

28 MARKETS

QUESTION30DYES24HVOL 24HCLOSES

Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?SA4%▼1▼1$12KOct 31Trade Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31?US · SA4%00$7KDec 31 ’27Trade Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?SA7%00$5KDec 31Trade Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Iran by December 31?IR3%00$4KDec 31 ’27Trade Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?RU5%00$3KDec 31 ’27Trade Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?US · SA2%00$3KDec 31 ’27Trade Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?SA · YE4%00$3KOct 31Trade Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for SpaceXAI / Elon Musk by December 31?US · SA4%00$3KDec 31 ’27Trade Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?SA19%00$2KDec 31 ’27Trade Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?YE44%——$2KDec 31 ’27Trade Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?US · SA6%00$1KDec 31 ’27Trade Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?SA64%00$1KNov 30Trade Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?YE · SA9%00$1KOct 31Trade Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?SA · IR18%▲2▲2$932Dec 31Trade Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?SA29%00$862Dec 31 ’27Trade Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?YE13%——$836Oct 31Trade Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?SA · YE67%▲3▲3$816Oct 29Trade Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?SA · YE3%00$788Oct 31Trade Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?CN5%▼2▼2$736Dec 31 ’27Trade Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?IR · QA11%▼1▼1$482Oct 31Trade Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?IL · IQ11%▲3▲3$236Oct 31Trade Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?IR57%——$223Oct 31Trade Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026?IR66%——$22Nov 15Trade UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?AE · QA6%00$10Dec 31Trade KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?IQ6%▼1▼1$0Dec 31 ’27Trade Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?IR · IQ59%——$0Oct 31Trade US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?US · QA4%00$0Nov 1Trade Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026?IR · IQ60%——$0Nov 15Trade