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China & Taiwan

Beijing, Taipei and the Strait.

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Will China invade Taiwan by…3 DEADLINES
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?7 OUTCOMES
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?3 OUTCOMES
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?3 OUTCOMES

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Every China & Taiwan question

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QUESTION30DYES24HVOL 24HCLOSES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?CN · TW2%00$91KDec 31TradeUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?US · CN18%▲2▲2$7KJan 1 ’27TradeWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?CN3%00$4KJan 1 ’27TradeWill China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?CN39%——$4KFeb 1 ’27TradeWill Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?CN17%00$3KJun 30 ’27TradeWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?CN2%00$3KJan 31 ’27TradeChina x Japan military clash before 2027?CN · JP4%00$3KDec 31TradeTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?US · RU · CN87%▲1▲1$3KDec 31TradeWill CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?CN17%▼13▼13$3KJun 30 ’27TradeChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?CN · TW4%▲1▲1$2KDec 31TradeWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?CN · TW7%00$2KJun 30 ’27TradeTaiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?TW3%00$2KDec 31TradeWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?CN70%▲2▲2$2KOct 20TradeWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?CN17%▲1▲1$2KOct 20TradeWill MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?CN4%00$2KOct 20TradeWill Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?CN16%——$2KOct 20TradeWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?CN · JP77%00$2KDec 31TradeWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?CN4%▼1▼1$2KOct 20TradeWill Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?CN32%00$2KOct 20TradeWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?CN · TW10%00$2KDec 31 ’27TradeWill the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31?CN4%00$2KDec 31TradeWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?CN10%00$2KOct 20TradeWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?CN · TW3%▲1▲1$2KJan 1 ’27TradeWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?CN96%00$2KJan 31 ’27TradeWill CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?CN20%▼1▼1$2KJun 30 ’27TradeChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?CN · PH24%▲1▲1$2KDec 31TradeWill Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?CN17%00$2KDec 20 ’27TradeZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?CN12%00$2KDec 31TradeWill Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?CN35%00$2KOct 20TradeWill Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?CN2%00$2KJan 1 ’27TradeWill Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?CN18%00$2KJun 30 ’27TradeWill a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?CN18%00$1KDec 31 ’27TradeChina coup attempt before 2027?CN4%00$1KDec 31TradeWill Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?CN16%00$1KDec 20 ’27TradeWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?CN28%00$1KDec 20 ’27TradeWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?CN6%00$1KDec 31 ’27TradeChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?CN22%00$1KDec 31 ’27TradeWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?CN38%00$978Jan 10 ’27TradeWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?CN2%00$978Oct 20TradeHu Jintao public appearance by December 31?CN3%00$943Dec 31TradeWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?CN1%00$802Oct 20TradeWill Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?CN4%00$771Jan 1 ’27Trade