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World Map / War & Geopolitics / Lebanon & Syria

Lebanon & Syria

Hezbollah, Israeli strikes and Syria's new order.

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Top question

BY 24H VOLUME

Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?

4%0 today · Remote

YES PRICE · LAST MONTH

100%50%

19 OctToday

$2K 24h · $18K total · closes Dec 31 ’27Trade

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?16 OUTCOMES

Venezuela10%0 Lebanon8%▲2 Tunisia6%0 Saudi Arabia5%0 Indonesia4%0 Iraq4%0

Syrian troops enter Yemen by…2 DEADLINES

Oct 315%▼12 Dec 3122%▲3

Israel military action against Lebanon on…4 DEADLINES

Oct 2299%▲8 Oct 2588%▲2 Oct 2689%▲3 Oct 2982%▲1

Israel military action against Syria by…2 DEADLINES

Oct 3115%▼6 Nov 3034%▲4

News on Lebanon & Syria

Al Jazeera · 6 hr agoTwo Syrian security officers killed in raid on ISIL cell near DamascusThe Syrian Interior Ministry says five suspected fighters killed and six arrested outside of Damascus.

Every Lebanon & Syria question

50 MARKETS

QUESTION30DYES24HVOL 24HCLOSES

Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?IQ · IL4%00$2KDec 31 ’27Trade Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?SY5%00$2KDec 31Trade Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?AF · IL2%00$2KDec 31 ’27Trade Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?IR · IL3%00$2KDec 31 ’27Trade Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?KP · IL3%00$2KDec 31 ’27Trade Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?IL · LB14%▼5▼5$2KOct 31Trade Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?QA · IL3%00$2KDec 31 ’27Trade Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?ID · IL4%00$1KDec 31 ’27Trade Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?VE · IL10%00$1KDec 31 ’27Trade Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?LB · IL8%▲2▲2$1KDec 31 ’27Trade Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?SY · YE22%▲3▲3$734Dec 31Trade Syrian troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?SY · YE5%▼12▼12$557Oct 31Trade Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?SA · IL5%00$284Dec 31 ’27Trade U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?US · SY19%▼22▼22$265Dec 31Trade Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?BD · IL2%00$251Dec 31 ’27Trade Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?IL · SY5%00$245Dec 31Trade Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?IL · SY15%▼6▼6$231Oct 31Trade Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026?IR · SY4%00$225Oct 31Trade Israel military action against Lebanon on October 22?IL · LB99%▲8▲8$206Oct 22Trade Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?IL · SY34%▲4▲4$166Nov 30Trade Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?LB7%00$106Dec 31Trade Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?IL · LB89%▲3▲3$102Oct 26Trade Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?IL · LB88%▲2▲2$102Oct 25Trade Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?IL · LB82%▲1▲1$101Oct 29Trade Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?MY · IL3%00$100Dec 31 ’27Trade Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?PK · IL4%00$100Dec 31 ’27Trade Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?IL · LB88%▲5▲5$89Oct 27Trade Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?IL · LB84%00$85Oct 30Trade Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?IL · LB4%00$83Dec 31Trade Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?IL · LB5%00$75Dec 31 ’27Trade Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?KW · IL3%00$73Dec 31 ’27Trade Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?IL · LB90%▲5▲5$64Oct 31Trade Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 31?IL · LB5%00$62Oct 31Trade Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?SY · IL4%00$53Dec 31 ’27Trade Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027?IL · LB13%00$52Mar 31 ’27Trade Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?TN · IL6%00$50Dec 31 ’27Trade Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?IL · LB2%00$44Oct 31Trade Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23?IL · LB91%▲5▲5$42Oct 23Trade U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?US · LB4%00$42Dec 31 ’27Trade Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?LB15%00$39Jan 1 ’27Trade Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31IL · LB7%00$21Dec 31 ’27Trade Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?LB6%00$20Dec 31 ’27Trade Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?IL · LB34%00$20Dec 31 ’27Trade Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026?YE · SY5%00$17Dec 31Trade Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?IL · LB89%▼2▼2$15Oct 28Trade Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24?IL · LB88%▼2▼2$10Oct 24Trade Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?CU · IL3%00$8Dec 31 ’27Trade Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?IL · LB3%00$4Dec 31Trade Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?IL · LB21%00$1Jun 30 ’27Trade Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?LB5%00$1Dec 31 ’27Trade