Yemen & Red Sea
The Houthis, shipping and the Red Sea.
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BY 24H VOLUMEWill there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?
22%▲5 today · Unlikely
YES PRICE · LAST MONTH
100%50%
21 OctToday
$27K 24h · $78K total · closes Dec 31Trade
News on Yemen & Red Sea
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Every Yemen & Red Sea question
38 MARKETSQUESTION30DYES24HVOL 24HCLOSES
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?YE · IL22%▲5▲5$27KDec 31TradeSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?SA · YE65%▲2▲2$22KOct 30TradeWill there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?YE6%——$12KOct 31TradeBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?YE11%00$12KNov 30TradeBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?YE2%00$7KOct 31TradeHouthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?YE10%▼3▼3$5KNov 30TradeMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?SA50%▼3▼3$5KNov 30TradeWill there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?YE57%00$5KOct 31TradeMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?SA25%▲2▲2$3KOct 31TradePerim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?YE21%00$2KDec 31 ’27TradeWill there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?YE11%▲3▲3$2KOct 31TradeHouthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?YE24%▲1▲1$2KDec 31TradeHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?YE · SA45%00$2KDec 31 ’27TradeHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?YE · SA8%00$2KOct 31TradePerim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?YE14%00$2KNov 30TradeWill Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?IR · SA16%00$1KNov 30TradeSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?SA · YE70%00$1KOct 22TradeSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?SA · YE60%00$993Oct 31TradeBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?YE17%▲2▲2$993Dec 31 ’27TradeIsrael military action against Yemen by October 31?IL · YE6%00$969Oct 31TradeUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?US · YE79%▲3▲3$910Nov 30TradeHouthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?YE2%00$886Oct 31TradeTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?US · YE15%00$881Oct 31TradeMilitary action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?SA60%00$820Oct 31TradeWill Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?YE2%00$806Oct 31TradeWill fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?YE12%00$796Oct 19TradeSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?SA · YE70%▲9▲9$764Oct 23TradeWill there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?YE · IL5%▼5▼5$758Oct 31TradeSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?SA · YE74%▲15▲15$748Oct 27TradeSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?SA · YE31%00$744Dec 31 ’27TradeSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?SA · YE57%00$736Oct 26TradeWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?YE45%00$675Oct 19TradeHouthis capture Taiz city by November 30?YE37%——$651Nov 30TradeSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?SA · YE54%00$642Oct 25TradeFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?FR · GB · DE6%00$627Dec 31TradePerim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?YE4%▼1▼1$618Oct 31TradeWill Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?IR · SA7%00$616Oct 31TradeSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?SA · YE63%00$531Oct 24Trade