LIVE

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket market
4%chance · Remote
0 pts24h$15K24h volume$889KtotalJan 1 ’27closes
YES PRICE · LAST MONTH
100%50%
1 NovToday

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

View this market on Polymarket ↗

In the news

Trade Yes →