Top question
BY 24H VOLUMEStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
13%▲1 today · Unlikely
YES PRICE · LAST MONTH
100%50%
4 OctToday
$85K 24h · $16.2M total · closes Dec 31 ’27Trade
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27 MARKETSQUESTION30DYES24HVOL 24HCLOSES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?IR13%▲1▲1$85KDec 31 ’27TradeWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?14%▼4▼4$82KDec 31 ’27TradeStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?IR7%▲1▲1$53KNov 30TradeUS imports Russian diesel by November 30?US · RU53%00$40KNov 30TradeWill there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?IR64%00$37KOct 23TradeWill there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?IR61%00$35KNov 4TradeWill there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?IR32%00$33KOct 23TradeWill oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?US1%00$32KNov 2TradeUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?US · IR27%▲1▲1$32KNov 30TradeWill oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?US65%00$31KNov 2TradeKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?IR7%00$28KDec 31 ’27TradeUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?US · IR40%▲7▲7$25KDec 31 ’27TradeUS imports Russian diesel by December 31?US · RU79%00$20KDec 31 ’27TradeWill there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?IR1%00$19KOct 23TradeWill there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?IR1%00$18KOct 23TradeWill oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?US68%00$17KNov 2TradeIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?IR · OM31%00$16KDec 31 ’27TradeWill the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?NL · IR32%00$16KDec 31TradeWill oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?US27%00$15KNov 2TradeWill oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?US4%00$15KNov 2TradeUS announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?US · IR64%00$12KMar 31 ’27TradeWill oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?US4%00$12KNov 2TradeWill oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?US29%00$10KNov 2TradeIran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?IR19%00$10KDec 31 ’27TradeUS charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?US · IR3%00$9KDec 31TradeWill Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?IR82%00$8KFeb 1 ’27TradeWill EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026?US · FR · DE29%00$4KNov 20Trade