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Trade War

Tariffs, deals and retaliation.

Live Polymarket markets · trade directly on Polymarket
24h volume$4K
Live markets39
Conflict risk—
Biggest move▼6
LINKED BY SHARED MARKETS

Top question

BY 24H VOLUME
YES PRICE · LAST MONTH
100%50%
23 SeptToday
$2K 24h · $95K total · closes Oct 31Trade
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by…3 DEADLINES
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by…2 DEADLINES
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?17 OUTCOMES

News on Trade War

Al Jazeera · 2 hr agoIlhan Omar home raid, Haines attack: Inside rise in violence on officialsUS Congresswoman Ilhan Omar's home raided; Australian MP Helen Haines loses both legs following an attack.U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?10%0

Every Trade War question

39 MARKETS
QUESTION30DYES24HVOL 24HCLOSES
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?US · CA4%▼1▼1$2KOct 31TradeWill Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?US · CA14%▼4▼4$1KOct 31TradeWill Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?US15%▼6▼6$190Jan 1 ’27TradeWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?US · CA14%00$149Oct 31TradeWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?US · CA48%▼1▼1$113Dec 31 ’27TradeWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?US · CN88%▲2▲2$92Dec 31TradeWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?US · CN2%▼2▼2$77Dec 31TradeUS x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?US · CU12%00$77Dec 31TradeWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?US · CN8%00$72Dec 31TradeWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31?US · CN3%▼1▼1$72Dec 31TradeWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on December 31?US · CN4%00$72Dec 31TradeWill the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T?US4%00$66May 1 ’27TradeWill Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?US · CA5%00$61Oct 31TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?US · GB10%00$56Dec 31TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?US · IL10%00$55Dec 31TradeWill the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more?US4%00$51May 1 ’27TradeWill the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?US25%00$50May 1 ’27TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?US · IN11%00$40Dec 31TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?US · AU10%00$40Dec 31TradeUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?US · CA40%00$40Dec 31 ’27TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?US · ZA8%00$40Dec 31TradeWill the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?US29%00$39Feb 28 ’27TradeWill the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?US4%00$39May 1 ’27TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?US · KR10%▲5▲5$38Dec 31TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?US · VN12%00$36Dec 31TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?US · TW10%00$34Dec 31TradeWill the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?US13%00$20May 1 ’27TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?US · RU11%00$15Dec 31TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?US · CA10%00$13Dec 31TradeWill the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B?US5%00$11Feb 28 ’27TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?US · BR7%00$10Dec 31TradeWill the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B?9%00$10Feb 28 ’27TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?US · PK10%00$6Dec 31TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?US · ID8%00$5Dec 31TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?US · MX14%00$3Dec 31TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?US · AR9%00$0Dec 31TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?US6%00$0Dec 31TradeUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by November 30?US · CA23%00$0Nov 30TradeU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?US · JP11%00$0Dec 31Trade