Latin America
Brazil's runoff and the rest of the region's votes.
Live Polymarket markets · trade directly on PolymarketTop question
BY 24H VOLUMEWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
65%▼6 today · Toss-up
YES PRICE · LAST MONTH
100%50%
17 OctToday
$108K 24h · $417K total · closes Oct 26Trade
News on Latin America
BBC News · 4 hr agoZuckerberg wins Meta deal to help him foot bill for possible California billionaire taxThe Meta boss had said he would exit the state over a wealth tax that has not yet come into force.Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?97%0
BBC News · 5 hr agoLula says rival should be disqualified over alleged Meta interference ahead of Brazil voteThe Brazilian president accuses the tech firm of favouring Flávio Bolsonaro, which it denies.Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?30%▼2
Every Latin America question
60 MARKETSQUESTION30DYES24HVOL 24HCLOSES
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?BR65%▼6▼6$108KOct 26TradeWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BR30%▼2▼2$74KOct 26TradeWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BR5%▼2▼2$73KOct 26TradeWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?BR1%00$71KOct 26TradeWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BR22%▲4▲4$66KOct 26TradeWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?BR34%▲6▲6$52KOct 26TradeWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BR42%00$42KOct 26TradeWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?BR11%00$6KOct 26TradeWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BR · IL · US8%▲2▲2$6KNov 5TradeWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?BR74%▲5▲5$5KOct 26TradeWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?BR99%——$5KOct 26TradeWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?BR27%▼3▼3$5KOct 26TradeWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?BR89%▲2▲2$4KOct 26TradeCuban regime falls in 2026?CU9%00$4KJan 1 ’27TradeWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?BR12%▼1▼1$4KOct 26TradeWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?BR3%00$3KOct 26TradeWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?US · MX74%00$3KJun 7 ’27TradeWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?BR · IL · US14%00$3KNov 5TradeWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?BR20%——$3KOct 26TradeWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?BR28%▲3▲3$3KOct 26TradeWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?BR68%——$2KOct 26TradeWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?BR99%00$2KOct 26TradeUK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?GB · AR4%——$2KJan 1 ’27TradeWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?BR94%00$2KOct 26TradeWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?BR17%——$2KOct 26TradeFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?BR6%——$2KOct 31TradeWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?MX80%▲4▲4$2KJun 7 ’27TradeWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?BR66%▲6▲6$2KOct 26TradeWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?MX80%00$2KJun 7 ’27TradeWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?BR99%00$2KOct 26TradeWill MC win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?MX10%00$2KJun 7 ’27TradeWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?MX94%00$2KJun 7 ’27TradeWill PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election?US72%00$2KJun 7 ’27TradeWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BR · IL · US6%00$2KNov 5TradeWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?BR6%00$1KOct 26TradeEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?CU · US5%00$1KDec 31 ’27TradeWill Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?4%00$1KOct 26TradeWill PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election?US72%00$1KJun 7 ’27TradeWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?BR98%00$1KOct 26TradeWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?BR · IL · US8%00$1KNov 5TradeWill PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?US21%00$1KJun 7 ’27TradeWill Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?BR45%00$1KDec 2TradeWill Carlos Reyes Torres win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?US2%00$1KJun 7 ’27TradeWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?MX48%00$1KJun 7 ’27TradeBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?BR73%▲3▲3$1KOct 26TradeU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?US77%00$998Dec 31 ’27TradeWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?BR28%▲1▲1$990Oct 26TradeJair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?BR69%00$964Mar 31 ’27TradeWill PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?US7%00$901Jun 7 ’27TradeWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?BR · US18%▲1▲1$888Oct 26TradeWill Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?CO · US21%00$874Dec 31 ’27TradeWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election?MX27%——$864Jun 7 ’27TradeAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?BR3%00$862Dec 31TradeAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BR12%00$850Jan 1 ’27TradeWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?MX92%00$824Jun 7 ’27TradeWill Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?US28%00$822Jun 7 ’27TradeWill PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?US4%00$822Jun 7 ’27TradeWill Rubén Cayetano García win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?US1%00$821Jun 7 ’27TradeWill Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?BR32%00$812Dec 2TradeWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?BR32%▼8▼8$809Oct 26Trade