Monthly & Long-term: what the market says
Every question below is priced by people staking money on the answer. The percentage is the market's probability, and the volume tells you how much to trust it.
Ongoing questions
Guides
Our analysis and guides on this topic.
- GUIDEWhat is a Bitcoin prediction market, and how does it settle?A Bitcoin prediction market pays $1 if a stated price condition is true. What the ladder of strikes means, and which feed decides the outcome.
- COMPAREPolymarket vs. Kalshi — what's actually different?Kalshi takes dollars through a bank. Polymarket's global exchange settles in USDC on-chain. What that changes about fees, access and who can sign up at all.
- GUIDEHow do I deposit money into Polymarket?Funding is a crypto transfer to an address that is already yours. Which networks credit, why Polygon has two tokens called USDC, and what a lost deposit looks like.