Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?
Right now · Deadline: September 1, 2026
2%chance, according to the market
Backed by $41K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 4 the market put this at 2%.
Aug 4now 2%
Every deadline so far
Polymarket re-lists this question at successive deadlines. Each row is one of them, with how it resolved.
- September 1, 2026CurrentWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?2%$84K
- January 1, 2027Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?26%$4.0M
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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Open in TelegramPrice as of 2026-08-05 08:58 UTC · Source: Polymarket