Politics › Trump

Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?

Right now · Deadline: December 31, 2026

5%chance, according to the market

Backed by $11K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.

How the price has moved

We started recording this market's daily price today — the history will build from here.

Every deadline so far

Polymarket re-lists this question at successive deadlines. Each row is one of them, with how it resolved.

  1. December 31, 2026CurrentFetterman out by September 30, 2026?5%$11K
  2. December 31, 2026Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?11%$10K

How this resolves

The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Price as of 2026-09-05 17:44 UTC · Source: Polymarket