Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Right now · Deadline: October 1, 2026
1%chance, according to the market
Backed by $22K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 6 the market put this at 1%.
Aug 6now 0%
Every deadline so far
Polymarket re-lists this question at successive deadlines. Each row is one of them, with how it resolved.
- October 1, 2026CurrentBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?1%$1.5M
- January 1, 2027Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?3%$1.7M
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Guides
Background worth reading before you trade this.
- GUIDEWhat is a Bitcoin prediction market, and how does it settle?A Bitcoin prediction market pays $1 if a stated price condition is true. What the ladder of strikes means, and which feed decides the outcome.
- COMPAREPolymarket vs. Kalshi — what's actually different?Kalshi takes dollars through a bank. Polymarket's global exchange settles in USDC on-chain. What that changes about fees, access and who can sign up at all.
- GUIDEHow do I deposit money into Polymarket?Funding is a crypto transfer to an address that is already yours. Which networks credit, why Polygon has two tokens called USDC, and what a lost deposit looks like.
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Open in TelegramPrice as of 2026-09-25 07:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket