Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Polymarket market
12%chance · Unlikely
0 pts24h$5K24h volume$172KtotalJan 1 ’27closes
YES PRICE · LAST MONTH
100%50%
6 OctToday
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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