France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket market
16%chance · Unlikely
▲9 pts24h$9K24h volume$10KtotalJan 1 ’28closes
YES PRICE · LAST MONTH
100%50%
26 OctToday
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
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