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Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

1%chance, according to the market

Backed by $12K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.

How the price has moved

On Aug 4 the market put this at 2%.

Aug 4now 0%

How this resolves

The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

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Price as of 2026-09-05 12:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket