Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
1%chance, according to the market
Backed by $53K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 30 the market put this at 0%.
Aug 30now 0%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Guides
Background worth reading before you trade this.
- COMPAREPrediction markets vs. sportsbooks: the real differenceA sportsbook hides its margin inside the odds and trades against you. On a prediction market your counterparty is another trader and you can exit at a visible price.
- GUIDERead the resolution rules before you look at the priceMost settlement surprises are definitional, not predictive. You were right about the world and wrong about what the market counted — here's what to check before you buy.
- GUIDEHow a market resolves, and when you actually get paidSomeone proposes the outcome and posts a bond. Anyone can challenge it for two hours. Undisputed markets pay out the same day — disputed ones take days.
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Trade this marketPrice as of 2026-09-12 09:23 UTC · Source: Polymarket