UFC Fight Night: Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Main Card)
23%chance, according to the market
Backed by $10K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 22 the market put this at 41%.
Aug 22now 24%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to "Muhammad Naimov" if Muhammad Naimov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Losene Keita at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026.
It will resolve to "Losene Keita" if Losene Keita is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
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Trade this marketPrice as of 2026-09-05 09:08 UTC · Source: Polymarket