Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
1%chance, according to the market
Backed by $40K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 15 the market put this at 48%.
Aug 15now 1%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 12, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 19, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Guides
Background worth reading before you trade this.
- COMPAREPrediction markets vs. sportsbooks: the real differenceA sportsbook hides its margin inside the odds and trades against you. On a prediction market your counterparty is another trader and you can exit at a visible price.
- GUIDERead the resolution rules before you look at the priceMost settlement surprises are definitional, not predictive. You were right about the world and wrong about what the market counted — here's what to check before you buy.
- GUIDEHow a market resolves, and when you actually get paidSomeone proposes the outcome and posts a bond. Anyone can challenge it for two hours. Undisputed markets pay out the same day — disputed ones take days.
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Trade this marketPrice as of 2026-09-12 16:07 UTC · Source: Polymarket