Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?
Right now · Deadline: September 24, 2026
99%chance, according to the market
Backed by $17K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Sep 22 the market put this at 100%.
Sep 22now 100%
Every deadline so far
Polymarket re-lists this question at successive deadlines. Each row is one of them, with how it resolved.
- August 6, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6?No$13K
- August 11, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 11?No$10K
- August 13, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 13?No$22K
- August 14, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 14?No$71K
- August 19, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 19?No$20K
- August 20, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 20?No$76K
- August 23, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 23?Yes$120K
- August 24, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?Yes$86K
- August 25, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?Yes$73K
- August 26, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26?Yes$98K
- August 27, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?Yes$86K
- August 28, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?Yes$84K
- August 29, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29?Yes$59K
- August 30, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 30?Yes$63K
- August 31, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 31?Yes$21K
- September 1, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?Yes$99K
- September 2, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 2?Yes$116K
- September 3, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 3?Yes$71K
- September 4, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?Yes$65K
- September 5, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 5?Yes$54K
- September 6, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 6?Yes$66K
- September 7, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7?Yes$32K
- September 8, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8?Yes$47K
- September 9, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?Yes$71K
- September 10, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?Yes$81K
- September 11, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?Yes$102K
- September 12, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 12?Yes$82K
- September 13, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?Yes$11K
- September 14, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?Yes$73K
- September 15, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15?Yes$56K
- September 16, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?Yes$92K
- September 17, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?Yes$73K
- September 18, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?Yes$94K
- September 19, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19?Yes$77K
- September 22, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?Yes$18K
- September 23, 2026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23?Awaiting settlement$49K
- September 24, 2026CurrentWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?99%$25K
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Guides
Background worth reading before you trade this.
- GUIDEWhat is a Bitcoin prediction market, and how does it settle?A Bitcoin prediction market pays $1 if a stated price condition is true. What the ladder of strikes means, and which feed decides the outcome.
- COMPAREPolymarket vs. Kalshi — what's actually different?Kalshi takes dollars through a bank. Polymarket's global exchange settles in USDC on-chain. What that changes about fees, access and who can sign up at all.
- GUIDEHow do I deposit money into Polymarket?Funding is a crypto transfer to an address that is already yours. Which networks credit, why Polygon has two tokens called USDC, and what a lost deposit looks like.
Follow this market, or take a position, straight from Telegram.
Open in TelegramPrice as of 2026-09-23 13:12 UTC · Source: Polymarket