Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?
Right now · Deadline: October 1, 2026
88%chance, according to the market
Backed by $19K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
We started recording this market's daily price today — the history will build from here.
Every deadline so far
Polymarket re-lists this question at successive deadlines. Each row is one of them, with how it resolved.
- September 1, 2026Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?Yes$777K
- October 1, 2026CurrentWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?88%$19K
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Guides
Background worth reading before you trade this.
- GUIDEStablecoin yield: what your dollars actually earnHolding USDT pays nothing while ordinary dollars earn 4-5%. The reference rate, the three permissionless doors actually open, and what each charges in risk.
- GUIDERead the resolution rules before you look at the priceMost settlement surprises are definitional, not predictive. You were right about the world and wrong about what the market counted — here's what to check before you buy.
- GUIDEHow a market resolves, and when you actually get paidSomeone proposes the outcome and posts a bond. Anyone can challenge it for two hours. Undisputed markets pay out the same day — disputed ones take days.
Follow this market, or take a position, straight from Telegram.
Open in TelegramPrice as of 2026-09-13 23:26 UTC · Source: Polymarket