Sports › Formula 1

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

74%chance, according to the market

Backed by $12K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.

How the price has moved

On Aug 4 the market put this at 75%.

Aug 4now 74%

How this resolves

The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Follow this market, or take a position, straight from Telegram.

Open in Telegram

Price as of 2026-08-07 13:14 UTC · Source: Polymarket