Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
This is the January 1, 2027 deadline of an ongoing question. See the current market →
21%chance, according to the market
Backed by $26K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 4 the market put this at 10%.
Aug 4now 21%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Guides
Background worth reading before you trade this.
- GUIDEWhat is a Bitcoin prediction market, and how does it settle?A Bitcoin prediction market pays $1 if a stated price condition is true. What the ladder of strikes means, and which feed decides the outcome.
- GUIDEHow do I deposit money into Polymarket?Funding is a crypto transfer to an address that is already yours. Which networks credit, why Polygon has two tokens called USDC, and what a lost deposit looks like.
- GUIDEHow do I withdraw money from Polymarket?Your balance leaves as USDC on Polygon to an address you name. What has to be sold first, which route out costs least, and where a withdrawal goes wrong.
Follow this market, or take a position, straight from Telegram.
Trade this marketPrice as of 2026-09-21 07:21 UTC · Source: Polymarket