Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
1%chance, according to the market
Backed by $25K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 4 the market put this at 4%.
Aug 4now 1%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Guides
Background worth reading before you trade this.
- GUIDEHow do I deposit money into Polymarket?Funding is a crypto transfer to an address that is already yours. Which networks credit, why Polygon has two tokens called USDC, and what a lost deposit looks like.
- GUIDEHow do I withdraw money from Polymarket?Your balance leaves as USDC on Polygon to an address you name. What has to be sold first, which route out costs least, and where a withdrawal goes wrong.
- GUIDEStablecoin yield: what your dollars actually earnHolding USDT pays nothing while ordinary dollars earn 4-5%. The reference rate, the three permissionless doors actually open, and what each charges in risk.
Follow this market, or take a position, straight from Telegram.
Trade this marketPrice as of 2026-09-18 13:40 UTC · Source: Polymarket