Bitcoin › Monthly & Long-term

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

4%chance, according to the market

Backed by $25K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.

How the price has moved

We started recording this market's daily price today — the history will build from here.

How this resolves

The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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Price as of 2026-08-04 20:38 UTC · Source: Polymarket