UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)
38%chance, according to the market
Backed by $19K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Sep 12 the market put this at 50%.
Sep 12now 37%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to "Raoni Barcelos" if Raoni Barcelos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Raul Rosas Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026.
It will resolve to "Raul Rosas Jr." if Raul Rosas Jr. is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Guides
Background worth reading before you trade this.
- GUIDEHow do I manage a bankroll on prediction markets?Most people lose on money management, not on picks. A separate bankroll, a fixed unit, a written log, and why adding legs multiplies your chance of losing.
- COMPAREPrediction markets vs. sportsbooks: the real differenceA sportsbook hides its margin inside the odds and trades against you. On a prediction market your counterparty is another trader and you can exit at a visible price.
- GUIDERead the resolution rules before you look at the priceMost settlement surprises are definitional, not predictive. You were right about the world and wrong about what the market counted — here's what to check before you buy.
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Trade this marketPrice as of 2026-09-22 20:58 UTC · Source: Polymarket