Iran leadership change by August 31?
This market has resolved.
No
Settled on-chain after $1.6M of lifetime trading. The rules that decided it are below.
How the price has moved
On Aug 4 the market put this at 3%.
Aug 4now 0%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Guides
Background worth reading before you trade this.
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Trade this marketPrice as of 2026-09-21 17:31 UTC · Source: Polymarket