BASKET · EDITORIAL PICK

Iran escalation

The opposite thesis to de-escalation, on a year-end horizon: direct US involvement, the regime falling, and the Strait staying disrupted.

3 positions · Editorial

Blended price

31%

Best case

×9.07

If it comes good

$907.04 back on $100.00 — 9.07× — if every position hits.

This is not a parlay. Each position is bought and settles on its own — you don't need them all to come in, and you can sell any one of them without touching the rest.

Buy this basket

Price as of 2026-10-22 22:45 UTC

What's in it

Each row is a separate position. The weight is that leg's share of whatever you put in.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?40%
Yes17%January 1, 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?35%
Yes6%January 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?25%
No89%January 1, 2027

Legs are placed as separate orders. If one can't fill at the price shown, the rest still go through and that leg's share stays in your balance.