Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
92%chance, according to the market
Backed by $9K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 4 the market put this at 56%.
Aug 4now 91%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to the next team Julian Alvarez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Julian Alvarez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Atletico Madrid".
If Julian Alvarez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Julian Alvarez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Atletico Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
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Open in TelegramPrice as of 2026-08-19 20:09 UTC · Source: Polymarket