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UFC Fight Night: Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse (Featherweight, Prelims)

88%chance, according to the market

Backed by $15K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.

How the price has moved

On Aug 20 the market put this at 86%.

Aug 20now 88%

How this resolves

The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.

This market will resolve to "Marcio Barbosa" if Marcio Barbosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Kuse at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Ryan Kuse" if Ryan Kuse is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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Price as of 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket