Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?
10%chance, according to the market
Backed by $27K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
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How this resolves
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Islam Makhachev defeats Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
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Open in TelegramPrice as of 2026-08-15 18:14 UTC · Source: Polymarket