Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?
17%chance, according to the market
Backed by $10K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 25 the market put this at 24%.
Aug 25now 17%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, or signs any bill into law, or otherwise officially renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the U.S. Board on Geographic Names (BGN) renames Lake Ontario accordingly this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration or the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, however a consensus of credible reporting stating that the US Government has renamed Lake Ontario to "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar will suffice.
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Trade this marketPrice as of 2026-08-27 00:48 UTC · Source: Polymarket