BASKET · EDITORIAL PICK
Ukraine ceasefire: the November-December window
A view on WHEN, not whether. Yes on a ceasefire agreement by 31 December and No on one by 31 October: the two rungs are nested, so one of them always pays. Both hit only if a deal lands in November or December; every other outcome returns the floor.
2 positions · Editorial
Blended price
68%
Best case
×1.80
If it comes good
$180.18 back on $100.00 — 1.8× — if every position hits.
This is not a parlay. Each position is bought and settles on its own — you don't need them all to come in, and you can sell any one of them without touching the rest.
Price as of 2026-09-05 14:26 UTC
What's in it
Each row is a separate position. The weight is that leg's share of whatever you put in.
Yes28%January 1, 2027
No84%November 1, 2026
Legs are placed as separate orders. If one can't fill at the price shown, the rest still go through and that leg's share stays in your balance.