Iran de-escalation
De-escalation on a single date: both ceasefires holding through September, Iran's airspace staying open, the US calling off the naval blockade, and the next round of talks actually convening. Five contracts, all settling by 30 September.
5 positions · Editorial
Blended price
44%
The weighted average of the legs — what one unit of this basket costs as a probability.
If it comes good
$20,232.20 back on $100.00 — 202.32× — if every position hits.
This is not a parlay. Each position is bought and settles on its own — you don't need them all to come in, and you can sell any one of them without touching the rest.
What's in it
Each row is a separate position. The weight is that leg's share of whatever you put in.
Yes · 1% · September 30, 2026 · Resolved
Yes · 21% · October 1, 2026
Yes · 85% · September 30, 2026
No · 90% · October 1, 2026
Yes · 23% · October 1, 2026
Legs are placed as separate orders. If one can't fill at the price shown, the rest still go through and that leg's share stays in your balance.
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Buy this basketOr open it in TelegramPrice as of 2026-08-31 11:30 UTC