Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
32%chance, according to the market
Backed by $21K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 4 the market put this at 22%.
Aug 4now 32%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Trade this marketPrice as of 2026-09-04 09:11 UTC · Source: Polymarket