O/U 2.5 Rounds
73%chance, according to the market
Backed by $12K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 20 the market put this at 50%.
Aug 20now 73%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Yan Xiaonan and Denise Gomes at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
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Trade this marketPrice as of 2026-08-26 19:25 UTC · Source: Polymarket