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UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

21%chance, according to the market

Backed by $10K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.

How the price has moved

On Aug 16 the market put this at 20%.

Aug 16now 21%

How this resolves

The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.

This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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Price as of 2026-08-25 04:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket