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UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)

80%chance, according to the market

Backed by $10K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.

How the price has moved

On Aug 20 the market put this at 78%.

Aug 20now 80%

How this resolves

The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.

This market will resolve to "Kai Asakura" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Aoriqileng" if Aoriqileng is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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Price as of 2026-08-29 04:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket