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UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card)

87%chance, according to the market

Backed by $11K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.

How the price has moved

On Aug 21 the market put this at 82%.

Aug 21now 86%

How this resolves

The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.

This market will resolve to "Bilal Hasan" if Bilal Hasan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nilson Rojas at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Nilson Rojas" if Nilson Rojas is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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Price as of 2026-08-28 19:14 UTC · Source: Polymarket