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2nd Half Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)

27%chance, according to the market

Backed by $14K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.

How the price has moved

On Sep 1 the market put this at 50%.

Sep 1now 26%

How this resolves

The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.

In the upcoming La Liga game between Real Betis Balompié and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for September 4 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF win the second half by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Betis Balompié". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

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Price as of 2026-09-02 09:23 UTC · Source: Polymarket