Formula 1 › Race Props

Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?

1%chance, according to the market

Backed by $16K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.

How the price has moved

On Aug 15 the market put this at 57%.

Aug 15now 1%

How this resolves

The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Dutch Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Dutch Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

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Price as of 2026-08-23 17:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket