NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?
1%chance, according to the market
Backed by $17K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 4 the market put this at 4%.
Aug 4now 1%
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Guides
Background worth reading before you trade this.
- GUIDEHow do I manage a bankroll on prediction markets?Most people lose on money management, not on picks. A separate bankroll, a fixed unit, a written log, and why adding legs multiplies your chance of losing.
- COMPAREPrediction markets vs. sportsbooks: the real differenceA sportsbook hides its margin inside the odds and trades against you. On a prediction market your counterparty is another trader and you can exit at a visible price.
- GUIDERead the resolution rules before you look at the priceMost settlement surprises are definitional, not predictive. You were right about the world and wrong about what the market counted — here's what to check before you buy.
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Trade this marketPrice as of 2026-09-26 08:28 UTC · Source: Polymarket