Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%chance, according to the market
Backed by $74K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
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How this resolves
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A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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Open in TelegramPrice as of 2026-08-04 16:55 UTC · Source: Polymarket