Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
29%chance, according to the market
Backed by $149K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
On Aug 4 the market put this at 29%.
Aug 4now 29%
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Open in TelegramPrice as of 2026-08-06 12:34 UTC · Source: Polymarket