Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
70%chance, according to the market
Backed by $20K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
We started recording this market's daily price today — the history will build from here.
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to the next team Vinicius Junior officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Vinicius Junior does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid".
If Vinicius Junior joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Vinicius Junior is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
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Open in TelegramPrice as of 2026-08-04 16:55 UTC · Source: Polymarket