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UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

31%chance, according to the market

Backed by $14K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.

How the price has moved

On Aug 4 the market put this at 30%.

Aug 4now 31%

How this resolves

The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.

This market will resolve to "Amanda Lemos" if Amanda Lemos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexia Thainara at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Alexia Thainara" if Alexia Thainara is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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Price as of 2026-08-07 22:26 UTC · Source: Polymarket