Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
50%chance, according to the market
Backed by $18K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
We started recording this market's daily price today — the history will build from here.
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".
The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
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Open in TelegramPrice as of 2026-08-06 21:50 UTC · Source: Polymarket